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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

14:30

Venue

Ak Bars Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rubin Win

61%

Rubin

1.65

22%

Draw

4.49

17%

FC Orenburg

5.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

Rubin xG

Total xG

2.72

0.87

FC Orenburg xG

61%
22%
17%
RubinDrawFC Orenburg

1.65

61%

Home win

4.49

22%

Draw

5.86

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

42%

Rubin

2.38

16%

FC Orenburg

6.39

Win to Nil

26%

Rubin

3.92

3%

FC Orenburg

37.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 5.7 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 12.2 10.6 4.6 1.3 0.3
2 11.3 9.8 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 7.0 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 3.2 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.854
λ Away (xG) 0.866
Total xG 2.720
League avg home goals 1.596
League avg away goals 1.066
Rubin attack strength 1.064
Rubin defence strength 0.822
FC Orenburg attack strength 0.988
FC Orenburg defence strength 1.092
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53