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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

16:00

Venue

Ak Bars Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rubin Win

59%

Rubin

1.69

25%

Draw

4.02

16%

Nizhny Novgorod

6.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.0%

Home win

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Rubin xG

Total xG

2.28

0.68

Nizhny Novgorod xG

59%
25%
16%
RubinDrawNizhny Novgorod

1.69

59%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

6.32

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.53

61%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

51%

Rubin

1.98

20%

Nizhny Novgorod

4.92

Win to Nil

30%

Rubin

3.34

3%

Nizhny Novgorod

31.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 7.0 2.4 0.5 0.1
1 16.4 11.2 3.8 0.9 0.1
2 13.0 8.9 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 6.9 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 2.8 1.9 0.6 0.1
5 0.9 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.594
λ Away (xG) 0.683
Total xG 2.277
League avg home goals 1.367
League avg away goals 1.070
Rubin attack strength 0.849
Rubin defence strength 0.733
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 0.872
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 1.373
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59