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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

12:15

Venue

Ak Bars Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rubin Win

50%

Rubin

2.01

30%

Draw

3.32

20%

Nizhny Novgorod

4.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Rubin xG

Total xG

2.82

1.08

Nizhny Novgorod xG

50%
30%
20%
RubinDrawNizhny Novgorod

2.01

50%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

4.97

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

34%

Rubin

2.94

17%

Nizhny Novgorod

5.73

Win to Nil

17%

Rubin

5.90

4%

Nizhny Novgorod

28.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 6.4 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.4 11.2 6.0 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.8 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.3 5.7 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.3 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.745
λ Away (xG) 1.077
Total xG 2.822
League avg home goals 1.351
League avg away goals 1.159
Rubin attack strength 1.081
Rubin defence strength 1.017
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 0.913
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 1.194
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50