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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Ak Bars Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rubin Win

53%

Rubin

1.89

28%

Draw

3.53

19%

Lokomotiv

5.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.92

Rubin xG

Total xG

3.03

1.11

Lokomotiv xG

53%
28%
19%
RubinDrawLokomotiv

1.89

53%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

5.36

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.52

Clean Sheet

33%

Rubin

3.03

15%

Lokomotiv

6.79

Win to Nil

17%

Rubin

5.72

3%

Lokomotiv

36.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 5.4 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 9.3 10.3 5.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.9 5.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.7 6.3 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.7 3.0 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 1.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.915
λ Away (xG) 1.110
Total xG 3.025
League avg home goals 1.484
League avg away goals 1.093
Rubin attack strength 1.011
Rubin defence strength 0.952
Lokomotiv attack strength 1.067
Lokomotiv defence strength 1.276
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53