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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

17:00

Venue

Ak Bars Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rubin Win

60%

Rubin

1.66

29%

Draw

3.41

10%

Fakel

9.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.8%

Home win

0 – 0

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Rubin xG

Total xG

2.14

0.56

Fakel xG

60%
29%
RubinDrawFakel

1.66

60%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

9.68

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.75

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

57%

Rubin

1.74

20%

Fakel

4.90

Win to Nil

35%

Rubin

2.89

2%

Fakel

47.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7 6.5 1.8 0.3
1 18.6 10.3 2.9 0.5 0.1
2 14.8 8.2 2.3 0.4 0.1
3 7.8 4.3 1.2 0.2
4 3.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.589
λ Away (xG) 0.555
Total xG 2.144
League avg home goals 1.511
League avg away goals 1.104
Rubin attack strength 0.916
Rubin defence strength 0.847
Fakel attack strength 0.594
Fakel defence strength 1.147
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55