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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Akron cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Rotor Volgograd.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Akron beat Rotor Volgograd 0-2 at Volgograd Arena, Final, in the Premier League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Rotor Volgograd 1.62 xG and Akron 1.28 xG, a combined 2.90. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Rotor Volgograd fell 1.6 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Rotor Volgograd attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Akron attack 1.05 / defence 1.37, drawn from 0/60 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Rotor Volgograd 45% | Draw 24% | Akron 30%, with Rotor Volgograd to win its most likely call at 45%. The actual Akron win had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 79% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights