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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

12:00

Venue

Luzhniki Stadium

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Orenburg Win

41%

FC Orenburg

2.43

28%

Draw

3.56

31%

Rubin

3.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

FC Orenburg xG

Total xG

2.77

1.27

Rubin xG

41%
28%
31%
FC OrenburgDrawRubin

2.43

41%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

3.25

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

28%

FC Orenburg

3.57

22%

Rubin

4.48

Win to Nil

12%

FC Orenburg

8.68

7%

Rubin

14.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 8.0 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 9.4 11.9 7.6 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 7.0 8.9 5.7 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.5 4.5 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.499
λ Away (xG) 1.272
Total xG 2.771
League avg home goals 1.533
League avg away goals 1.304
FC Orenburg attack strength 0.803
FC Orenburg defence strength 0.923
Rubin attack strength 1.057
Rubin defence strength 1.218
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36