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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 10 Aug 2025

13:30

Venue

Luzhniki Stadium

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Krasnodar Win

24%

FC Orenburg

4.16

32%

Draw

3.13

44%

FC Krasnodar

2.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

9.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

FC Orenburg xG

Total xG

2.38

1.40

FC Krasnodar xG

24%
32%
44%
FC OrenburgDrawFC Krasnodar

4.16

24%

Home win

3.13

32%

Draw

2.27

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

25%

FC Orenburg

4.05

37%

FC Krasnodar

2.68

Win to Nil

6%

FC Orenburg

16.87

16%

FC Krasnodar

6.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 12.9 9.0 4.2 1.5 0.4
1 9.1 12.7 8.9 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 4.5 6.3 4.4 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 1.5 2.1 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.985
λ Away (xG) 1.399
Total xG 2.384
League avg home goals 1.454
League avg away goals 1.233
FC Orenburg attack strength 0.813
FC Orenburg defence strength 0.926
FC Krasnodar attack strength 1.225
FC Krasnodar defence strength 0.834
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 33