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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

12:00

Venue

Stadion Gazovik

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Krasnodar Win

27%

FC Orenburg

3.66

29%

Draw

3.48

44%

FC Krasnodar

2.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

FC Orenburg xG

Total xG

2.73

1.55

FC Krasnodar xG

27%
29%
44%
FC OrenburgDrawFC Krasnodar

3.66

27%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

2.28

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

21%

FC Orenburg

4.70

31%

FC Krasnodar

3.26

Win to Nil

6%

FC Orenburg

17.19

13%

FC Krasnodar

7.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 10.1 7.8 4.0 1.6 0.5
1 7.7 11.9 9.2 4.8 1.8 0.6
2 4.6 7.1 5.5 2.8 1.1 0.3
3 1.8 2.8 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.183
λ Away (xG) 1.547
Total xG 2.730
League avg home goals 1.491
League avg away goals 1.068
FC Orenburg attack strength 0.822
FC Orenburg defence strength 1.161
FC Krasnodar attack strength 1.247
FC Krasnodar defence strength 0.966
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58