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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

10:00

Venue

Gazovik Stadium

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Rostov Win

31%

FC Orenburg

3.22

33%

Draw

3.03

36%

FC Rostov

2.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

FC Orenburg xG

Total xG

2.44

1.27

FC Rostov xG

31%
33%
36%
FC OrenburgDrawFC Rostov

3.22

31%

Home win

3.03

33%

Draw

2.77

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

28%

FC Orenburg

3.56

31%

FC Rostov

3.21

Win to Nil

9%

FC Orenburg

11.48

11%

FC Rostov

8.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 11.1 7.1 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 10.2 13.0 8.2 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 5.9 7.5 4.8 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.3 2.9 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.165
λ Away (xG) 1.270
Total xG 2.435
League avg home goals 1.485
League avg away goals 1.198
FC Orenburg attack strength 0.869
FC Orenburg defence strength 1.191
FC Rostov attack strength 0.890
FC Rostov defence strength 0.903
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40