Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

10:00

Venue

Luzhniki Stadium

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Orenburg Win

38%

FC Orenburg

2.60

34%

Draw

2.91

27%

Dynamo

3.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

FC Orenburg xG

Total xG

2.18

0.98

Dynamo xG

38%
34%
27%
FC OrenburgDrawDynamo

2.60

38%

Home win

2.91

34%

Draw

3.68

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

38%

FC Orenburg

2.66

30%

Dynamo

3.32

Win to Nil

14%

FC Orenburg

6.92

8%

Dynamo

12.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3 11.1 5.4 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 13.6 13.3 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.2 8.0 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.3 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.200
λ Away (xG) 0.978
Total xG 2.178
League avg home goals 1.478
League avg away goals 1.215
FC Orenburg attack strength 0.872
FC Orenburg defence strength 1.021
Dynamo attack strength 0.789
Dynamo defence strength 0.931
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38