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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Mon 21 Jul 2025

15:30

Venue

Luzhniki Stadium

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

CSKA Moscow Win

31%

FC Orenburg

3.28

33%

Draw

3.06

37%

CSKA Moscow

2.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

FC Orenburg xG

Total xG

2.48

1.31

CSKA Moscow xG

31%
33%
37%
FC OrenburgDrawCSKA Moscow

3.28

31%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

2.72

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

27%

FC Orenburg

3.70

31%

CSKA Moscow

3.24

Win to Nil

8%

FC Orenburg

12.11

11%

CSKA Moscow

8.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 10.9 7.1 3.1 1.0 0.3
1 9.8 12.8 8.4 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 5.8 7.5 4.9 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.3 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.176
λ Away (xG) 1.307
Total xG 2.483
League avg home goals 1.456
League avg away goals 1.098
FC Orenburg attack strength 0.925
FC Orenburg defence strength 1.073
CSKA Moscow attack strength 1.110
CSKA Moscow defence strength 0.874
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30