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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 22 Nov 2025

11:00

Venue

Gazovik Stadium

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Baltika Win

24%

FC Orenburg

4.21

33%

Draw

3.06

44%

Baltika

2.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

FC Orenburg xG

Total xG

2.19

1.29

Baltika xG

24%
33%
44%
FC OrenburgDrawBaltika

4.21

24%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

2.30

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

27%

FC Orenburg

3.65

41%

Baltika

2.46

Win to Nil

7%

FC Orenburg

15.34

18%

Baltika

5.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 14.4 9.3 4.0 1.3 0.3
1 10.0 13.0 8.4 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 4.5 5.8 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 1.4 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.899
λ Away (xG) 1.294
Total xG 2.193
League avg home goals 1.352
League avg away goals 1.118
FC Orenburg attack strength 0.953
FC Orenburg defence strength 1.149
Baltika attack strength 1.007
Baltika defence strength 0.698
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 15