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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Fri 22 Aug 2025

16:00

Venue

Luzhniki Stadium

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Orenburg Win

39%

FC Orenburg

2.59

35%

Draw

2.88

27%

Akhmat

3.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.2%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.8%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

FC Orenburg xG

Total xG

1.98

0.88

Akhmat xG

39%
35%
27%
FC OrenburgDrawAkhmat

2.59

39%

Home win

2.88

35%

Draw

3.75

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.43

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

42%

FC Orenburg

2.41

33%

Akhmat

3.02

Win to Nil

16%

FC Orenburg

6.23

9%

Akhmat

11.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.8 12.1 5.3 1.6 0.3 0.1
1 15.2 13.4 5.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 8.4 7.4 3.2 0.9 0.2
3 3.1 2.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.105
λ Away (xG) 0.878
Total xG 1.983
League avg home goals 1.495
League avg away goals 1.192
FC Orenburg attack strength 0.730
FC Orenburg defence strength 0.900
Akhmat attack strength 0.819
Akhmat defence strength 1.012
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35