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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Zenit cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Nizhny Novgorod.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Zenit beat Nizhny Novgorod 0-2 at Sovcombank Arena, Regular Season - 16, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Nizhny Novgorod 0.84 xG and Zenit 1.16 xG, a combined 2.00. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Nizhny Novgorod fell 0.8 short of their projected output. Zenit outscored their 1.16 projection by 0.8. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Nizhny Novgorod attack 0.82 / defence 0.98 against Zenit attack 1.11 / defence 0.76, drawn from 45/45 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Nizhny Novgorod 25% | Draw 34% | Zenit 41%, with Zenit to win its most likely call at 41%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 32%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 61% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 41% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Nizhny Novgorod 53%, Zenit 49%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 43%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Nizhny Novgorod's trading profile (45 games, 22 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 42% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 47% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Zenit's trading profile (45 games, 22 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 44% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 51% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Zenit arrived the stronger side — 2.13 PPG against 0.84. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Nizhny Novgorod (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.05 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights