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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 26 Apr 2026

12:00

Venue

Sovcombank Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nizhny Novgorod Win

39%

Nizhny Novgorod

2.53

28%

Draw

3.53

32%

Spartak Moscow

3.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Nizhny Novgorod xG

Total xG

2.40

1.13

Spartak Moscow xG

39%
28%
32%
Nizhny NovgorodDrawSpartak Moscow

2.53

39%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

3.10

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

32%

Nizhny Novgorod

3.08

28%

Spartak Moscow

3.58

Win to Nil

13%

Nizhny Novgorod

7.81

9%

Spartak Moscow

11.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 10.2 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 11.6 13.0 7.3 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.4 8.3 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.1 3.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.276
λ Away (xG) 1.126
Total xG 2.402
League avg home goals 1.392
League avg away goals 1.063
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 0.900
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 0.930
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.139
Spartak Moscow defence strength 1.019
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56