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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

12:00

Venue

Mordovia Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nizhny Novgorod Win

44%

Nizhny Novgorod

2.28

25%

Draw

3.94

31%

FC Orenburg

3.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 2

7.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.83

Nizhny Novgorod xG

Total xG

3.35

1.52

FC Orenburg xG

44%
25%
31%
Nizhny NovgorodDrawFC Orenburg

2.28

44%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

3.25

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.03

Clean Sheet

22%

Nizhny Novgorod

4.56

16%

FC Orenburg

6.24

Win to Nil

10%

Nizhny Novgorod

10.41

5%

FC Orenburg

20.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 5.3 4.0 2.0 0.8 0.2
1 6.4 9.8 7.4 3.7 1.4 0.4
2 5.9 8.9 6.8 3.4 1.3 0.4
3 3.6 5.5 4.1 2.1 0.8 0.2
4 1.6 2.5 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.831
λ Away (xG) 1.518
Total xG 3.349
League avg home goals 1.489
League avg away goals 1.277
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 1.022
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 1.132
FC Orenburg attack strength 1.050
FC Orenburg defence strength 1.203
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37