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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 4 Apr 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadion Nizhny Novgorod

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nizhny Novgorod Win

47%

Nizhny Novgorod

2.11

31%

Draw

3.25

22%

FC Orenburg

4.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Nizhny Novgorod xG

Total xG

2.61

1.03

FC Orenburg xG

47%
31%
22%
Nizhny NovgorodDrawFC Orenburg

2.11

47%

Home win

3.25

31%

Draw

4.58

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

36%

Nizhny Novgorod

2.80

21%

FC Orenburg

4.86

Win to Nil

17%

Nizhny Novgorod

5.90

4%

FC Orenburg

22.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 7.6 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.6 12.0 6.1 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.2 9.5 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.8 5.0 2.6 0.9 0.2
4 1.9 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.581
λ Away (xG) 1.028
Total xG 2.609
League avg home goals 1.542
League avg away goals 1.062
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 0.803
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 1.263
FC Orenburg attack strength 0.766
FC Orenburg defence strength 1.276
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52