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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 2 Aug 2025

18:30

Venue

Akhmat-Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lokomotiv Win

24%

Nizhny Novgorod

4.17

29%

Draw

3.50

47%

Lokomotiv

2.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Nizhny Novgorod xG

Total xG

2.85

1.69

Lokomotiv xG

24%
29%
47%
Nizhny NovgorodDrawLokomotiv

4.17

24%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

2.11

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

18%

Nizhny Novgorod

5.41

31%

Lokomotiv

3.20

Win to Nil

4%

Nizhny Novgorod

22.55

15%

Lokomotiv

6.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 9.8 8.2 4.6 2.0 0.7
1 6.7 11.3 9.6 5.4 2.3 0.8
2 3.9 6.6 5.6 3.1 1.3 0.4
3 1.5 2.6 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.162
λ Away (xG) 1.688
Total xG 2.850
League avg home goals 1.339
League avg away goals 1.275
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 0.913
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 1.165
Lokomotiv attack strength 1.136
Lokomotiv defence strength 0.951
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 32 / 32