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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

11:00

Venue

Sovcombank Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nizhny Novgorod Win

44%

Nizhny Novgorod

2.29

27%

Draw

3.69

29%

Akron

3.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Nizhny Novgorod xG

Total xG

3.12

1.39

Akron xG

44%
27%
29%
Nizhny NovgorodDrawAkron

2.29

44%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

3.43

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.75

Clean Sheet

25%

Nizhny Novgorod

4.02

18%

Akron

5.64

Win to Nil

11%

Nizhny Novgorod

9.19

5%

Akron

19.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 6.1 4.3 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 7.6 10.6 7.4 3.4 1.2 0.3
2 6.6 9.2 6.4 3.0 1.0 0.3
3 3.8 5.3 3.7 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.6 2.3 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.729
λ Away (xG) 1.391
Total xG 3.120
League avg home goals 1.509
League avg away goals 1.198
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 1.014
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 1.143
Akron attack strength 1.016
Akron defence strength 1.129
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41