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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

12:30

Venue

Mordovia Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nizhny Novgorod Win

47%

Nizhny Novgorod

2.14

28%

Draw

3.64

26%

Akhmat

3.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Nizhny Novgorod xG

Total xG

2.96

1.24

Akhmat xG

47%
28%
26%
Nizhny NovgorodDrawAkhmat

2.14

47%

Home win

3.64

28%

Draw

3.89

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

29%

Nizhny Novgorod

3.45

18%

Akhmat

5.57

Win to Nil

14%

Nizhny Novgorod

7.36

5%

Akhmat

21.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 6.4 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 8.9 11.1 6.8 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.7 9.5 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.4 5.4 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.718
λ Away (xG) 1.237
Total xG 2.955
League avg home goals 1.484
League avg away goals 1.201
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 1.112
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 1.104
Akhmat attack strength 0.933
Akhmat defence strength 1.042
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38