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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

16:00

Venue

RZD Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lokomotiv Win

41%

Lokomotiv

2.45

33%

Draw

3.02

26%

Spartak Moscow

3.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Lokomotiv xG

Total xG

2.49

1.09

Spartak Moscow xG

41%
33%
26%
LokomotivDrawSpartak Moscow

2.45

41%

Home win

3.02

33%

Draw

3.84

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

34%

Lokomotiv

2.97

25%

Spartak Moscow

4.05

Win to Nil

14%

Lokomotiv

7.26

6%

Spartak Moscow

15.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 9.0 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.6 12.7 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 8.1 8.9 4.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.8 4.1 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.399
λ Away (xG) 1.087
Total xG 2.486
League avg home goals 1.411
League avg away goals 1.243
Lokomotiv attack strength 1.160
Lokomotiv defence strength 0.890
Spartak Moscow attack strength 0.983
Spartak Moscow defence strength 0.855
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 33 / 33