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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 19 Jul 2025

16:00

Venue

RZD Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lokomotiv Win

55%

Lokomotiv

1.81

29%

Draw

3.48

16%

FC Sochi

6.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Lokomotiv xG

Total xG

2.76

0.93

FC Sochi xG

55%
29%
16%
LokomotivDrawFC Sochi

1.81

55%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

6.27

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

39%

Lokomotiv

2.54

16%

FC Sochi

6.20

Win to Nil

22%

Lokomotiv

4.60

3%

FC Sochi

38.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 5.9 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 11.6 10.8 5.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.5 9.9 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.4 6.0 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 2.9 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.824
λ Away (xG) 0.934
Total xG 2.758
League avg home goals 1.535
League avg away goals 1.091
Lokomotiv attack strength 1.034
Lokomotiv defence strength 1.008
FC Sochi attack strength 0.850
FC Sochi defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 0