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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

15:00

Venue

RZD Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lokomotiv Win

64%

Lokomotiv

1.56

24%

Draw

4.20

12%

FC Orenburg

8.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

Lokomotiv xG

Total xG

2.82

0.80

FC Orenburg xG

64%
24%
12%
LokomotivDrawFC Orenburg

1.56

64%

Home win

4.20

24%

Draw

8.15

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

45%

Lokomotiv

2.23

13%

FC Orenburg

7.49

Win to Nil

29%

Lokomotiv

3.49

2%

FC Orenburg

61.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 4.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.0 9.7 3.9 1.0 0.2
2 12.1 9.7 3.9 1.0 0.2
3 8.1 6.5 2.6 0.7 0.1
4 4.1 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.013
λ Away (xG) 0.803
Total xG 2.816
League avg home goals 1.509
League avg away goals 1.096
Lokomotiv attack strength 1.079
Lokomotiv defence strength 0.940
FC Orenburg attack strength 0.780
FC Orenburg defence strength 1.237
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56