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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 1 May 2026

17:30

Venue

RZD Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lokomotiv Win

43%

Lokomotiv

2.34

25%

Draw

4.00

32%

Dynamo

3.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Lokomotiv xG

Total xG

2.82

1.30

Dynamo xG

43%
25%
32%
LokomotivDrawDynamo

2.34

43%

Home win

4.00

25%

Draw

3.10

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

27%

Lokomotiv

3.65

22%

Dynamo

4.60

Win to Nil

12%

Lokomotiv

8.56

7%

Dynamo

14.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 7.7 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.1 11.8 7.6 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 9.0 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.5 4.6 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.526
λ Away (xG) 1.296
Total xG 2.822
League avg home goals 1.369
League avg away goals 1.047
Lokomotiv attack strength 1.172
Lokomotiv defence strength 0.940
Dynamo attack strength 1.317
Dynamo defence strength 0.951
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57