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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 10 May 2026

17:30

Venue

RZD Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lokomotiv Win

50%

Lokomotiv

2.00

26%

Draw

3.90

24%

Baltika

4.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Lokomotiv xG

Total xG

2.53

0.99

Baltika xG

50%
26%
24%
LokomotivDrawBaltika

2.00

50%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

4.08

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.02

51%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

37%

Lokomotiv

2.70

22%

Baltika

4.65

Win to Nil

18%

Lokomotiv

5.42

5%

Baltika

18.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 7.9 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 12.2 12.2 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.3 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.8 4.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 1.9 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.537
λ Away (xG) 0.994
Total xG 2.531
League avg home goals 1.357
League avg away goals 1.056
Lokomotiv attack strength 1.131
Lokomotiv defence strength 0.909
Baltika attack strength 1.036
Baltika defence strength 1.002
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 28