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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

16:00

Venue

Ozon Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Krasnodar Win

64%

FC Krasnodar

1.55

20%

Draw

5.10

16%

FC Orenburg

6.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.16

FC Krasnodar xG

Total xG

3.13

0.97

FC Orenburg xG

64%
20%
16%
FC KrasnodarDrawFC Orenburg

1.55

64%

Home win

5.10

20%

Draw

6.29

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

38%

FC Krasnodar

2.65

12%

FC Orenburg

8.67

Win to Nil

24%

FC Krasnodar

4.10

2%

FC Orenburg

54.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 9.4 9.2 4.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.9 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 7.3 7.1 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 4.0 3.8 1.9 0.6 0.1
5 1.7 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.160
λ Away (xG) 0.973
Total xG 3.133
League avg home goals 1.367
League avg away goals 1.070
FC Krasnodar attack strength 1.428
FC Krasnodar defence strength 1.002
FC Orenburg attack strength 0.908
FC Orenburg defence strength 1.107
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59