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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 2 Mar 2025

11:00

Venue

Arena Khimki

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Khimki Win

37%

Khimki

2.70

33%

Draw

3.03

30%

Fakel

3.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Khimki xG

Total xG

2.70

1.27

Fakel xG

37%
33%
30%
KhimkiDrawFakel

2.70

37%

Home win

3.03

33%

Draw

3.34

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

28%

Khimki

3.57

24%

Fakel

4.17

Win to Nil

10%

Khimki

9.65

7%

Fakel

13.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 8.6 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 9.6 12.2 7.8 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.8 8.7 5.5 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 3.3 4.1 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.427
λ Away (xG) 1.273
Total xG 2.700
League avg home goals 1.370
League avg away goals 1.230
Khimki attack strength 0.959
Khimki defence strength 1.197
Fakel attack strength 0.865
Fakel defence strength 1.087
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 48