Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

12:00

Venue

Stadion Fakel

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

16%

Fakel

6.22

33%

Draw

3.06

51%

Spartak Moscow

1.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

17.4%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.6%

Draw

0 – 2

12.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.69

Fakel xG

Total xG

2.07

1.39

Spartak Moscow xG

16%
33%
51%
FakelDrawSpartak Moscow

6.22

16%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

1.95

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.52

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

25%

Fakel

3.99

50%

Spartak Moscow

1.99

Win to Nil

4%

Fakel

24.84

26%

Spartak Moscow

3.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.6 17.4 12.1 5.6 1.9 0.5
1 8.7 12.0 8.3 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 3.0 4.1 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.1
3 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.688
λ Away (xG) 1.385
Total xG 2.073
League avg home goals 1.496
League avg away goals 1.100
Fakel attack strength 0.564
Fakel defence strength 0.989
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.273
Spartak Moscow defence strength 0.814
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56