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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 11 May 2025

14:30

Venue

Stadion Fakel

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

31%

Fakel

3.27

39%

Draw

2.58

31%

Lokomotiv

3.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

17.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

15.1%

Away win

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.89

Fakel xG

Total xG

1.77

0.89

Lokomotiv xG

31%
39%
31%
FakelDrawLokomotiv

3.27

31%

Home win

2.58

39%

Draw

3.26

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

53%

Over 1.5

1.89

47%

Under 1.5

2.13

26%

Over 2.5

3.85

74%

Under 2.5

1.35

10%

Over 3.5

10.00

90%

Under 3.5

1.11

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.68

63%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

41%

Fakel

2.43

41%

Lokomotiv

2.42

Win to Nil

13%

Fakel

7.95

13%

Lokomotiv

7.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.0 15.1 6.7 2.0 0.4 0.1
1 15.0 13.3 5.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 6.7 5.9 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 2.0 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.885
λ Away (xG) 0.887
Total xG 1.772
League avg home goals 1.460
League avg away goals 1.087
Fakel attack strength 0.527
Fakel defence strength 0.873
Lokomotiv attack strength 0.935
Lokomotiv defence strength 1.150
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57