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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

17:45

Venue

VTB Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Dynamo Win

40%

Dynamo

2.52

29%

Draw

3.44

31%

Lokomotiv

3.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 2

7.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Dynamo xG

Total xG

3.04

1.43

Lokomotiv xG

40%
29%
31%
DynamoDrawLokomotiv

2.52

40%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

3.20

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.74

Clean Sheet

24%

Dynamo

4.16

20%

Lokomotiv

5.05

Win to Nil

10%

Dynamo

10.49

6%

Lokomotiv

16.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 6.8 4.8 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 7.7 11.0 7.8 3.7 1.3 0.4
2 6.2 8.9 6.3 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 3.4 4.8 3.4 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.4 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.619
λ Away (xG) 1.426
Total xG 3.045
League avg home goals 1.469
League avg away goals 1.154
Dynamo attack strength 1.170
Dynamo defence strength 1.031
Lokomotiv attack strength 1.199
Lokomotiv defence strength 0.942
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40