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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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CSKA Moscow cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Akron.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

CSKA Moscow beat Akron 3-1 at VEB Arena, Regular Season - 6, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting CSKA Moscow 1.73 xG and Akron 1.29 xG, a combined 3.02. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. CSKA Moscow beat their projection by 1.3 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of CSKA Moscow attack 1.31 / defence 0.84 against Akron attack 1.18 / defence 0.86, drawn from 35/35 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it CSKA Moscow 47% | Draw 26% | Akron 27%, with CSKA Moscow to win its most likely call at 47%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 58%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 82% and landed. Over 3.5 was 36% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (CSKA Moscow 46%, Akron 60%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 51%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

CSKA Moscow's trading profile (35 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 43% of the time, and conceded here.

Akron's trading profile (35 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, CSKA Moscow arrived the stronger side — 2.00 PPG against 1.17. The form guide was vindicated by the result. CSKA Moscow (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.88 average — above their attacking norm. Akron (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.53 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights