Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 3 Aug 2025

13:45

Venue

Rostec Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Baltika Win

35%

Baltika

2.86

30%

Draw

3.31

35%

FC Orenburg

2.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Baltika xG

Total xG

2.73

1.36

FC Orenburg xG

35%
30%
35%
BaltikaDrawFC Orenburg

2.86

35%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

2.87

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.74

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

26%

Baltika

3.90

26%

FC Orenburg

3.92

Win to Nil

9%

Baltika

11.14

9%

FC Orenburg

11.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 8.9 6.1 2.7 0.9 0.3
1 8.9 12.2 8.3 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 6.1 8.3 5.7 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 2.8 3.8 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.366
λ Away (xG) 1.361
Total xG 2.727
League avg home goals 1.336
League avg away goals 1.263
Baltika attack strength 0.859
Baltika defence strength 1.150
FC Orenburg attack strength 0.937
FC Orenburg defence strength 1.190
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 2 / 32