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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 26 Oct 2025

10:00

Venue

Mordovia Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lokomotiv Win

26%

Akron

3.90

24%

Draw

4.11

50%

Lokomotiv

2.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

0 – 1

7.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Akron xG

Total xG

3.29

1.94

Lokomotiv xG

26%
24%
50%
AkronDrawLokomotiv

3.90

26%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

2.00

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.55

35%

BTTS No

2.82

Clean Sheet

14%

Akron

6.94

26%

Lokomotiv

3.86

Win to Nil

4%

Akron

27.12

13%

Lokomotiv

7.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 7.2 7.0 4.5 2.2 0.8
1 5.0 9.8 9.5 6.1 3.0 1.1
2 3.4 6.6 6.4 4.1 2.0 0.8
3 1.5 3.0 2.9 1.9 0.9 0.3
4 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.351
λ Away (xG) 1.938
Total xG 3.289
League avg home goals 1.424
League avg away goals 1.202
Akron attack strength 0.898
Akron defence strength 1.138
Lokomotiv attack strength 1.416
Lokomotiv defence strength 1.057
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42