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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

11:30

Venue

Samara Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Baltika Win

26%

Akron

3.83

31%

Draw

3.22

43%

Baltika

2.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.3%

Away win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Akron xG

Total xG

2.42

1.39

Baltika xG

26%
31%
43%
AkronDrawBaltika

3.83

26%

Home win

3.22

31%

Draw

2.33

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

25%

Akron

4.00

35%

Baltika

2.82

Win to Nil

7%

Akron

15.34

15%

Baltika

6.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 12.3 8.5 3.9 1.4 0.4
1 9.2 12.7 8.8 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 4.8 6.6 4.6 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 1.6 2.3 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.038
λ Away (xG) 1.387
Total xG 2.425
League avg home goals 1.525
League avg away goals 1.299
Akron attack strength 0.865
Akron defence strength 1.087
Baltika attack strength 0.982
Baltika defence strength 0.787
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 6