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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

18:30

Venue

Akhmat-Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zenit Win

23%

Akhmat

4.32

33%

Draw

3.03

44%

Zenit

2.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.5%

Away win

0 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.00

Akhmat xG

Total xG

2.44

1.44

Zenit xG

23%
33%
44%
AkhmatDrawZenit

4.32

23%

Home win

3.03

33%

Draw

2.28

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

24%

Akhmat

4.20

37%

Zenit

2.73

Win to Nil

6%

Akhmat

18.13

16%

Zenit

6.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 12.5 9.0 4.3 1.5 0.4
1 8.8 12.6 9.0 4.3 1.5 0.4
2 4.4 6.3 4.5 2.2 0.8 0.2
3 1.5 2.1 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.003
λ Away (xG) 1.435
Total xG 2.438
League avg home goals 1.454
League avg away goals 1.261
Akhmat attack strength 0.767
Akhmat defence strength 1.045
Zenit attack strength 1.090
Zenit defence strength 0.899
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 33