Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

14:30

Venue

Akhmat-Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Akhmat Win

40%

Akhmat

2.52

26%

Draw

3.81

34%

Spartak Moscow

2.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Akhmat xG

Total xG

3.23

1.55

Spartak Moscow xG

40%
26%
34%
AkhmatDrawSpartak Moscow

2.52

40%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

2.94

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.53

34%

BTTS No

2.90

Clean Sheet

21%

Akhmat

4.69

19%

Spartak Moscow

5.36

Win to Nil

8%

Akhmat

11.82

6%

Spartak Moscow

15.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 6.1 4.8 2.4 0.9 0.3
1 6.7 10.3 8.0 4.1 1.6 0.5
2 5.6 8.7 6.7 3.5 1.3 0.4
3 3.1 4.8 3.7 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 2.0 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.679
λ Away (xG) 1.546
Total xG 3.225
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.106
Akhmat attack strength 1.096
Akhmat defence strength 1.157
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.208
Spartak Moscow defence strength 1.140
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44