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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 30 Mar 2025

14:30

Venue

Akhmat Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

31%

Akhmat

3.20

31%

Draw

3.20

38%

Spartak Moscow

2.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Akhmat xG

Total xG

2.61

1.37

Spartak Moscow xG

31%
31%
38%
AkhmatDrawSpartak Moscow

3.20

31%

Home win

3.20

31%

Draw

2.67

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.80

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

25%

Akhmat

3.94

29%

Spartak Moscow

3.44

Win to Nil

8%

Akhmat

12.62

11%

Spartak Moscow

9.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 10.1 6.9 3.2 1.1 0.3
1 9.1 12.5 8.6 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.6 7.7 5.3 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.3 3.2 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.236
λ Away (xG) 1.371
Total xG 2.607
League avg home goals 1.506
League avg away goals 1.081
Akhmat attack strength 0.909
Akhmat defence strength 1.130
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.122
Spartak Moscow defence strength 0.904
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51