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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 5 Dec 2025

16:00

Venue

Akhmat-Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Akhmat Win

52%

Akhmat

1.92

26%

Draw

3.78

21%

FC Orenburg

4.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Akhmat xG

Total xG

2.85

1.08

FC Orenburg xG

52%
26%
21%
AkhmatDrawFC Orenburg

1.92

52%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

4.68

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

34%

Akhmat

2.93

17%

FC Orenburg

5.89

Win to Nil

18%

Akhmat

5.62

4%

FC Orenburg

27.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 6.2 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.3 11.0 5.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.8 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.4 5.8 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.4 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.774
λ Away (xG) 1.076
Total xG 2.850
League avg home goals 1.348
League avg away goals 1.030
Akhmat attack strength 1.088
Akhmat defence strength 1.174
FC Orenburg attack strength 0.889
FC Orenburg defence strength 1.210
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47