Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

14:45

Venue

Akhmat-Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Akhmat Win

35%

Akhmat

2.84

30%

Draw

3.33

35%

Lokomotiv

2.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Akhmat xG

Total xG

2.60

1.29

Lokomotiv xG

35%
30%
35%
AkhmatDrawLokomotiv

2.84

35%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

2.88

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

27%

Akhmat

3.65

27%

Lokomotiv

3.69

Win to Nil

10%

Akhmat

10.35

9%

Lokomotiv

10.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 9.6 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 9.7 12.6 8.1 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.3 8.2 5.3 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 2.8 3.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.305
λ Away (xG) 1.294
Total xG 2.599
League avg home goals 1.506
League avg away goals 1.269
Akhmat attack strength 0.924
Akhmat defence strength 0.872
Lokomotiv attack strength 1.170
Lokomotiv defence strength 0.937
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37