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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

12:00

Venue

Akhmat Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Akhmat Win

54%

Akhmat

1.84

30%

Draw

3.32

16%

Dinamo Makhachkala

6.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.4%

Home win

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Akhmat xG

Total xG

2.20

0.70

Dinamo Makhachkala xG

54%
30%
16%
AkhmatDrawDinamo Makhachkala

1.84

54%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

6.43

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.42

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

49%

Akhmat

2.02

22%

Dinamo Makhachkala

4.47

Win to Nil

27%

Akhmat

3.73

3%

Dinamo Makhachkala

28.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 7.8 2.7 0.6 0.1
1 16.5 11.7 4.1 1.0 0.2
2 12.4 8.7 3.1 0.7 0.1
3 6.2 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 2.3 1.6 0.6 0.1
5 0.7 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.498
λ Away (xG) 0.705
Total xG 2.203
League avg home goals 1.482
League avg away goals 1.089
Akhmat attack strength 0.917
Akhmat defence strength 0.954
Dinamo Makhachkala attack strength 0.679
Dinamo Makhachkala defence strength 1.102
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 28