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Primeira Liga Predictions

Portuguese league and cup matches only β€” Saturday 21 March 2026

Kick-off times in Portuguese time (WET/WEST)

Free Portuguese football predictions for 21 March 2026, showing only matches from Primeira Liga that our Poisson prediction model covers. Each fixture carries over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and match result probabilities.

There were five Portuguese fixtures on Saturday 21 March 2026, spread across one competition, led by Primeira Liga.

The model's standout reads were Benfica vs Vitória SC for over 2.5 goals at 64%, Moreirense vs Arouca for both teams to score at 58%, and Benfica as the strongest favourite at 70% (Benfica vs Vitória SC). Treat them as model output rather than a guide to what will happen.

Of the three standout picks that have since finished, two landed. That is a very small sample; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Primeira Liga predictions

5 matches Β· Portugal Primeira Liga hub →
Famalicao
1 : 0 FT
Nacional
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Moreirense
0 : 1 FT
Arouca
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Benfica
3 : 0 FT
Vitória SC
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 54%
Santa Clara
1 : 0 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Tondela
0 : 0 FT
AVS
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing all 5 Portuguese fixtures, grouped by competition. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Portuguese Football β€” common questions

Which Portuguese leagues do you cover?

Fixture360 covers a curated set of leagues rather than every division. Competitions we cover in Portugal include Primeira Liga; other Portuguese competitions appear automatically whenever the data feed supplies fixtures for them. On Saturday 21 March 2026 the page lists Primeira Liga.

How many Portuguese matches were predicted on Saturday 21 March 2026?

five Portuguese fixtures across one competition. The highest over 2.5 probability is Benfica vs Vitória SC at 64%.

How are Portuguese football predictions calculated?

A Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from its attack and defence strengths in recent results, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. Over 2.5, both teams to score and match result probabilities are summed from those scorelines. No bookmaker odds are used as an input.

Are kick-off times shown in Portuguese time?

Yes. Kick-off times on this page's fixture cards are shown in Portuguese time (WET/WEST, the Europe/Lisbon time zone) and adjust automatically for summer time. They are not converted to your own location, so check the time against the official club or league listing before relying on it. The date selector uses UTC days.

Where can I find Portuguese over 2.5 and BTTS predictions?

The Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes market pages rank fixtures across every league we cover, including Primeira Liga. The "Portuguese Football picks of the day" card on this page links to the top Portuguese fixture for each market.

Are these betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.