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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 21 Mar 2026

20:30

Venue

Estádio João Cardoso

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Tondela Win

44%

Tondela

2.25

28%

Draw

3.61

28%

AVS

3.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

9.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Tondela xG

Total xG

2.32

0.99

AVS xG

44%
28%
28%
TondelaDrawAVS

2.25

44%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

3.59

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

37%

Tondela

2.69

26%

AVS

3.78

Win to Nil

17%

Tondela

6.06

7%

AVS

13.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 9.7 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.1 12.9 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.7 8.6 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 3.8 3.8 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.329
λ Away (xG) 0.990
Total xG 2.319
League avg home goals 1.492
League avg away goals 1.136
Tondela attack strength 0.644
Tondela defence strength 1.112
AVS attack strength 0.785
AVS defence strength 1.383
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 60