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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Sporting CP Win
68%
1.47
21%
4.86
11%
8.86
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
13.2%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
12.8%
Home win
2 – 1
9.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.06
Sporting CP xG
Total xG
2.78
0.72
Nacional xG
Sporting CPDrawNacional
1.47
68%
Home win
4.86
21%
Draw
8.86
11%
Away win
Goals Markets
77%
Over 1.5
1.30
23%
Under 1.5
4.35
53%
Over 2.5
1.89
47%
Under 2.5
2.13
30%
Over 3.5
3.33
70%
Under 3.5
1.43
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.20
55%
BTTS No
1.83
Clean Sheet
49%
2.05
13%
7.88
Win to Nil
33%
3.01
1%
69.77
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 12.8 | 9.2 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 13.2 | 9.5 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 9.1 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 4.7 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.064
λ Away (xG)
0.719
Total xG
2.783
League avg home goals
1.421
League avg away goals
1.195
Sporting CP attack strength
1.294
Sporting CP defence strength
0.834
Nacional attack strength
0.722
Nacional defence strength
1.123
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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