Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Mon 22 Sep 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio José Alvalade

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

59%

Sporting CP

1.68

22%

Draw

4.45

18%

Moreirense

5.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

2 – 1

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.97

Sporting CP xG

Total xG

2.97

1.00

Moreirense xG

59%
22%
18%
Sporting CPDrawMoreirense

1.68

59%

Home win

4.45

22%

Draw

5.50

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

37%

Sporting CP

2.72

14%

Moreirense

7.16

Win to Nil

22%

Sporting CP

4.59

3%

Moreirense

39.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 10.1 10.1 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 10.0 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 6.5 6.5 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.2 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.969
λ Away (xG) 1.002
Total xG 2.971
League avg home goals 1.282
League avg away goals 1.230
Sporting CP attack strength 1.523
Sporting CP defence strength 0.894
Moreirense attack strength 0.912
Moreirense defence strength 1.008
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39