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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 16 May 2026

20:30

Venue

Estádio José Alvalade

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

67%

Sporting CP

1.50

18%

Draw

5.49

15%

GIL Vicente

6.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.3%

Home win

1 – 1

8.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.35

Sporting CP xG

Total xG

3.39

1.04

GIL Vicente xG

67%
18%
15%
Sporting CPDrawGIL Vicente

1.50

67%

Home win

5.49

18%

Draw

6.60

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

35%

Sporting CP

2.82

10%

GIL Vicente

10.50

Win to Nil

24%

Sporting CP

4.23

1%

GIL Vicente

69.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 7.9 8.2 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 9.3 9.7 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 7.3 7.6 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 4.3 4.5 2.3 0.8 0.2
5 2.0 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.351
λ Away (xG) 1.037
Total xG 3.388
League avg home goals 1.456
League avg away goals 1.136
Sporting CP attack strength 1.589
Sporting CP defence strength 0.983
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.928
GIL Vicente defence strength 1.017
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67