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Sporting CP vs Boavista – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

20:30

Venue

Estádio José Alvalade

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

57%

Sporting CP

1.75

24%

Draw

4.15

19%

Boavista

5.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

2 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Sporting CP xG

Total xG

2.53

0.85

Boavista xG

57%
24%
19%
Sporting CPDrawBoavista

1.75

57%

Home win

4.15

24%

Draw

5.30

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

43%

Sporting CP

2.34

19%

Boavista

5.37

Win to Nil

24%

Sporting CP

4.11

4%

Boavista

28.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 6.8 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 13.4 11.4 4.8 1.4 0.3
2 11.2 9.6 4.1 1.2 0.2
3 6.3 5.4 2.3 0.6 0.1
4 2.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.681
λ Away (xG) 0.852
Total xG 2.533
League avg home goals 1.392
League avg away goals 1.073
Sporting CP attack strength 1.348
Sporting CP defence strength 0.831
Boavista attack strength 0.955
Boavista defence strength 0.896
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47