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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 13 Dec 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio José Alvalade

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

84%

Sporting CP

1.19

11%

Draw

9.03

5%

AVS

21.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

12.1%

Home win

4 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.98

Sporting CP xG

Total xG

3.59

0.61

AVS xG

84%
11%
Sporting CPDrawAVS

1.19

84%

Home win

9.03

11%

Draw

21.51

5%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

54%

Sporting CP

1.84

5%

AVS

19.59

Win to Nil

46%

Sporting CP

2.19

0%

AVS

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 8.2 5.0 1.5 0.3
2 12.2 7.5 2.3 0.5 0.1
3 12.1 7.4 2.3 0.5 0.1
4 9.0 5.5 1.7 0.3 0.1
5 5.4 3.3 1.0 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.975
λ Away (xG) 0.612
Total xG 3.587
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.292
Sporting CP attack strength 1.478
Sporting CP defence strength 0.663
AVS attack strength 0.713
AVS defence strength 1.553
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47