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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Mon 15 Dec 2025

18:45

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

50%

SC Braga

2.01

27%

Draw

3.76

24%

Santa Clara

4.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

SC Braga xG

Total xG

2.37

0.91

Santa Clara xG

50%
27%
24%
SC BragaDrawSanta Clara

2.01

50%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

4.25

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

40%

SC Braga

2.48

23%

Santa Clara

4.29

Win to Nil

20%

SC Braga

4.98

5%

Santa Clara

18.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 8.5 3.9 1.2 0.3
1 13.7 12.4 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.1 4.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 4.8 4.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.456
λ Away (xG) 0.909
Total xG 2.365
League avg home goals 1.361
League avg away goals 1.276
SC Braga attack strength 1.133
SC Braga defence strength 0.879
Santa Clara attack strength 0.811
Santa Clara defence strength 0.945
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47