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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

56%

SC Braga

1.77

25%

Draw

3.94

18%

Santa Clara

5.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.9%

Home win

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

SC Braga xG

Total xG

2.33

0.77

Santa Clara xG

56%
25%
18%
SC BragaDrawSanta Clara

1.77

56%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

5.48

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.37

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

47%

SC Braga

2.15

21%

Santa Clara

4.77

Win to Nil

26%

SC Braga

3.81

4%

Santa Clara

26.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 7.5 2.9 0.7 0.1
1 15.2 11.7 4.5 1.1 0.2
2 11.9 9.1 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 6.2 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 2.4 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.563
λ Away (xG) 0.765
Total xG 2.328
League avg home goals 1.291
League avg away goals 1.209
SC Braga attack strength 1.296
SC Braga defence strength 0.908
Santa Clara attack strength 0.698
Santa Clara defence strength 0.934
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 31